Special Eurasia: Iran-Armenia relationship may prove crucial for the geopolitics of the South Caucasus

The geopolitical landscape of the South Caucasus has undergone significant changes since the Second Karabakh War in 2020, transforming Iran-Armenia relations into a more strategic partnership, Special Eurasia writes.  As noted, bilateral trade has grown by 43% in 2023, reaching approximately $600 million, reflecting the deepening of economic ties.

This analysis examines how recent regional developments, particularly in security cooperation and economic partnerships, have reshaped Tehran-Yerevan relations amid growing regional challenges. Recent developments in Iran-Armenia relations reflect sophisticated regional security calculations. Tehran’s support for Armenian territorial integrity has strengthened following several key diplomatic events. The relationship faces challenges from Azerbaijan’s expanding regional influence, supported by its military cooperation with Israel. This has prompted Iran and Armenia to enhance their security cooperation.

“The Iran-Armenia partnership has developed into a strategic necessity, supported by concrete economic and security achievements,” reads the analysis. As noted, both countries face the challenge of maintaining their strategic interests while avoiding regional escalation.

Factors crucial to their success include the development of the International North-South Transport Corridor, the implementation of the recent cybersecurity agreement, expanded energy cooperation, and enhanced joint border security.

The strategic significance of this partnership extends beyond immediate regional concerns, potentially influencing broader Eurasian connectivity patterns. As the region continues to face geopolitical challenges and additional security risks, the Iran-Armenia relationship may prove crucial in shaping the future architecture of South Caucasian geopolitics and economic integration.