Spring and summer expected intense in Armenia’s internal political processes, says EADaily
Since the beginning of 2025, Armenia’s internal political situation has entered a new phase of instability. The division between two main opposition forces is becoming increasingly evident, EADaily reports.
As noted, although Robert Kocharyan does not have resources to pursue impeachment against Nikol Pashinyan, he is preparing for the 2026 parliamentary elections with electoral potential. Serzh Sargsyan, who has record-low negative ratings and virtually no chance of winning the upcoming elections, is attempting to seize power by declaring a no-confidence (impeachment) motion against Nikol Pashinyan’s government in the National Assembly. Both opposition camps, however, are expected to formally adhere to constitutional procedures to legitimize their actions—a requirement from external players.
The publication recalled that the post-war political crisis in Armenia, triggered by the defeat in the 44-day war and the signing of the November 9, 2020, statement by the leaders of Armenia, Azerbaijan, and Russia, has been accompanied by various protests. The main opposition forces leading these protests are connected in some way to Armenia’s second and third presidents—Robert Kocharyan and Serzh Sargsyan. Despite ideological differences and conflicting interests, the Kocharyan-Sargsyan-led opposition appeared to maintain unity in efforts to topple Nikol Pashinyan’s government.
According to the article, the geopolitical situation has a significant impact on Armenia’s internal politics. In this context, Donald Trump’s return to the Oval Office after the 2024 U.S. presidential elections has introduced notable changes. The shifts in global politics have brought to light the hidden antagonisms between Armenia’s former presidents, exposing them publicly.
The article further states that hostility between the two main opposition forces was clearly demonstrated during the March 30, 2025, by-elections for the Yerevan City Council—Armenia’s second-largest city. These elections became a litmus test for internal opposition tensions ahead of the 2026 parliamentary elections. Already during the election campaign, with the help of the media and public opinion leaders, the municipal elections were presented as a major test for the opposition forces before the parliamentary elections in Armenia in 2026.
Additionally, EADaily reports that the impeachment initiative against Pashinyan is primarily aimed at discrediting the Kocharyan-aligned opposition wing. The existence of a specific plan by the Republican Party of Armenia to “topple” Pashinyan was confirmed by Serzh Sargsyan himself during his visit to the Tsitsernakaberd Memorial Complex on April 24, 2025.
“We do not act without a plan. Yes, we have a plan, but I don’t think it’s appropriate to disclose it now,” Sargsyan stated.
As noted, spring and summer are expected to be intense in Armenia’s internal political processes, which could determine the future of the Armenian state.
