Armenia and Azerbaijan have started to move away from establishing peace. In the near future, the prospect of signing the agreement “On the establishment of peace and interstate relations between the Republic of Armenia and the Republic of Azerbaijan” seems increasingly vague, EADaily writes.
Yerevan’s expectations to complete relevant negotiations with Baku before COP29 are not justified.
Less than a month is left for the biggest international event for Azerbaijan, but now it can be safely assumed that the two South Caucasus republics will not sign a historical document for themselves.
Each side accuses its opponent of delaying the process. It must be admitted that the leadership of Armenia has more reasons for such a conclusion. It declares that it is ready to sign the agreement “even now” and quite convincingly refutes contrary statements from Baku.
Aliyev accuses the West of playing “anti-Azerbaijani games”, and his attitude toward Russia remains markedly respectful.
In Armenia, under the leadership of Pashinyan, the situation is somewhat opposite. Deviations to the West distanced the country from Russia. However, peace with Baku under the auspices of the U.S./EU turned out to be a practically impossible goal at the current stage, therefore, the Armenian leadership should make urgent corrections in its policy toward Russia.
Such a platform may be convenient for Armenia, if the issue of Azerbaijan’s return to the negotiation process arises. The Azerbaijani side has not yet announced its exit from this process, but signs of its torpedoing by Baku are still visible. At that time, Russia can once again act in the forefront of the peacekeeping forces of the Armenian-Azerbaijani settlement.