The peace treaty between Azerbaijan and Armenia does not guarantee a complete cessation of hostilities in the future, political scientist Artur Atayev told Izvestiya on Sept. 26.
“Unfortunately, this does not mean the complete end of hostilities. November and autumn are favorable for both President of Azerbaijan Ilham Aliyev and Nikol Pashinyan in terms of an agreement conclusion, which was clearly noted by politicians. This is an advantageous position for Aliyev to consolidate his victory in the elections and for Pashinyan in the context of the status quo,” Atayev said.
According to him, Aliyev will thus emphasize the legitimacy of his leadership, and for Pashinyan, border delimitation and demarcation in accordance with the 1991 Alma-Ata Declaration is important. Against this backdrop, the parties will sign a main agreement, the political scientist explained.
He also noted that in 2020, as a result of the Artsakh conflict, a ceasefire agreement was signed, but the parties interpret it differently. The expert said 80% of the provisions of the document have now been agreed, and the remaining 20% can become a “time bomb”. However, Atayev believes that Pashinyan will do his best to sign the agreement, otherwise it will be a failure of his political career.
